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21st Nov 2023, 04:48
Replies: 2,086
Views: 609,458
Posted By tartare

This is the Hal Brands thesis. China is...

This is the Hal Brands thesis.
China is basically at peak dangerousness in the next few years.
After that, it's all downhill...
11th Apr 2023, 01:50
Replies: 2,086
Views: 609,458
Posted By tartare

Well the last master strategist/megalomaniac...

Well the last master strategist/megalomaniac didn't turn out to be too smart, did he?!
No guarantee that Xi is any more clever.
10th Mar 2023, 23:04
Replies: 2,086
Views: 609,458
Posted By tartare

Lots of sound and fury down here as the Sydney...

Lots of sound and fury down here as the Sydney Morning Herald publishes a series of stories `Red Alert' about `...the coming war with China in three years.'
"Irresponsible, warmongering,...
28th Oct 2022, 06:07
Replies: 2,086
Views: 609,458
Posted By tartare

Well there you go. Everyday's a school day...

Well there you go.
Everyday's a school day...
28th Oct 2022, 01:26
Replies: 2,086
Views: 609,458
Posted By tartare

Fascinating new Mischief Reef close ups: ...

Fascinating new Mischief Reef close ups:
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/chinas-manmade-island-fortresses-like-youve-never-seen-them-before
How do they get those trees to grow in such a...
19th Sep 2022, 00:42
Replies: 2,086
Views: 609,458
Posted By tartare

He's said it again: ...

He's said it again:
https://www.smh.com.au/world/asia/joe-biden-says-again-us-forces-would-defend-taiwan-if-china-invaded-20220919-p5bj6b.html
I'm starting to wonder if this isn't a calculated...
15th Jun 2022, 02:35
Replies: 2,086
Views: 609,458
Posted By tartare

True... it is an impressive piece of kit. That...

True... it is an impressive piece of kit.
That said the B-52 says big, bad and scary like few other aircraft.
The statement by China bodes ill for the RAAF and RAN I reckon.
They'll think twice...
15th Jun 2022, 02:14
Replies: 2,086
Views: 609,458
Posted By tartare

An assumption based on previous activities: ...

An assumption based on previous activities:
https://www.businessinsider.com/us-sends-b-52-bombers-ripping-through-south-china-sea-twice-in-a-week-2018-9
Either Buff or Bone seems to be the aerial...
14th Jun 2022, 23:10
Replies: 2,086
Views: 609,458
Posted By tartare

Looking forward to the first carrier transit...

Looking forward to the first carrier transit through the Strait and B-52 overflight which is probably being planned as we speak!
The military equivalent of a raised finger...
7th Jun 2022, 03:46
Replies: 2,086
Views: 609,458
Posted By tartare

Another slice of salami: ...

Another slice of salami:
https://www.smh.com.au/world/asia/china-to-begin-secret-construction-of-pla-naval-facility-in-cambodia-this-week-western-officials-say-20220607-p5arm8.html
29th Apr 2022, 08:35
Replies: 2,086
Views: 609,458
Posted By tartare

An interesting story has surfaced over here (no...

An interesting story has surfaced over here (no pun intended).
From the ABC - which will be geoblocked for you lot up in Pomgolia and in the Excited States.

One of China's largest defence and...
28th Apr 2022, 23:48
Replies: 2,086
Views: 609,458
Posted By tartare

FWIW - here's a broader perspective on the...

FWIW - here's a broader perspective on the Solomons issue.
https://www.smh.com.au/politics/federal/remember-guadalcanal-us-congress-fears-over-china-s-presence-in-sacred-place-20220428-p5agr9.html...
28th Apr 2022, 04:32
Replies: 2,086
Views: 609,458
Posted By tartare

Slightly more urgent view down here than...

Slightly more urgent view down here than `stateside.
Nowhere near as close as Cuba is to Key West.
But close enough to cause a major diversion of resources for the ADF if PLAN ships and PLAAF...
27th Apr 2022, 01:53
Replies: 2,086
Views: 609,458
Posted By tartare

Seems to indicate that if permanent PLAN or PLAAF...

Seems to indicate that if permanent PLAN or PLAAF facilities looked likely to be set up, the Solomons might face a US blockade!
22nd Oct 2021, 04:29
Replies: 2,086
Views: 609,458
Posted By tartare

The gauntlet laid down: The US will defend Taiwan...

The gauntlet laid down: The US will defend Taiwan says Biden

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-59005300
20th Oct 2021, 00:12
Replies: 2,086
Views: 609,458
Posted By tartare

It's difficult to cut through the hype and...

It's difficult to cut through the hype and hysteria.
What exactly did they test?
Let's pick it apart.
China launched a FOBS - not a major technical achievement - they've been around since the...
9th Oct 2021, 01:01
Replies: 2,086
Views: 609,458
Posted By tartare

The more one reads - there's some fascinating...

The more one reads - there's some fascinating stuff going on in the subsea warfare domain.
Didn't realise that an AIM-9X has been successfully fired from a submerged sub.
Done a while back - and...
8th Oct 2021, 07:45
Replies: 2,086
Views: 609,458
Posted By tartare

So let's war game this. Been having a read...

So let's war game this.
Been having a read around Taiwan, all the issues etc.
The Taiwan Strait is only 50 metres deep in most places.
China would have to have anything from a 3 to 1 troop...
7th Oct 2021, 23:52
Replies: 2,086
Views: 609,458
Posted By tartare

...and with the caveat that it is the Guardian -...

...and with the caveat that it is the Guardian - this is interesting:
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/oct/07/taiwan-us-military-trainers-china
7th Oct 2021, 22:11
Replies: 2,086
Views: 609,458
Posted By tartare

Crazy Ivan - or the Chinese equivalent? ...

Crazy Ivan - or the Chinese equivalent?
https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/42669/one-of-the-navys-prized-seawolf-class-submarines-has-suffered-an-underwater-collision

"An official who...
1st Oct 2021, 05:05
Replies: 2,086
Views: 609,458
Posted By tartare

There is a fundamental issue here though. ...

There is a fundamental issue here though.
You're much less likely to innovate, take quantum leap risks and achieve the breakthroughs that put you ahead of your opponents when you run the risk of...
15th Sep 2021, 06:30
Replies: 2,086
Views: 609,458
Posted By tartare

Slightly off topic - but have we noticed...

Slightly off topic - but have we noticed reportage that Mark Milley was so worried about the orange fool pushing the button just before the election, and after the capitol riot, that he twice called...
8th Jul 2021, 23:06
Replies: 2,086
Views: 609,458
Posted By tartare

I think many of us are too gullible when it comes...

I think many of us are too gullible when it comes to the popular media line that China is growing inexorably ever stronger and will surpass and defeat the US.
Cai Xia's paper...
8th Jul 2021, 07:56
Replies: 2,086
Views: 609,458
Posted By tartare

Socialism and communism are two different things.

Socialism and communism are two different things.
14th May 2021, 03:16
Replies: 2,086
Views: 609,458
Posted By tartare

There's another unspoken assumption too in all...

There's another unspoken assumption too in all this analysis.
And that's that the United States won't continue to technologically innovate at a rate that outpaces China, which will exponentially...
30th Apr 2021, 08:01
Replies: 2,086
Views: 609,458
Posted By tartare

Yeah - I dunno if I buy all this `China's...

Yeah - I dunno if I buy all this `China's military is to be feared.'
Compare the two countries - the image above looks scary right?
Except that each of those aircraft is nowhere near as capable as...
29th Apr 2021, 11:17
Replies: 2,086
Views: 609,458
Posted By tartare

I often wake at 3am - and reach for my iPhone. ...

I often wake at 3am - and reach for my iPhone.
I expect in the next decade to read a headline at that time - Reports of nuclear strikes.
It'll start as a skirmish over Taiwan - the Chinese will...
28th Apr 2021, 23:47
Replies: 2,086
Views: 609,458
Posted By tartare

God help us if Pezzullo does become Defence Sec. ...

God help us if Pezzullo does become Defence Sec.
War virtually guaranteed.
https://www.themandarin.com.au/155031-the-pezzullo-factor-courting-controversy-and-climbing-high/
13th Apr 2021, 01:59
Replies: 2,086
Views: 609,458
Posted By tartare

25 jets into the Taiwan ADZ. ...

25 jets into the Taiwan ADZ.
https://www.theguardian.com/world/2021/apr/12/largest-chinese-breach-of-taiwan-air-zone-in-a-year-after-us-warning
Another slice of the salami...
Based on that very...
11th Apr 2021, 23:16
Replies: 2,086
Views: 609,458
Posted By tartare

A 200 percent tariff on cheap Chinese goods would...

A 200 percent tariff on cheap Chinese goods would see many major retailers go under.
Our equivalent of B&Q/Home Depot, Bunnings, gets a huge amount of its stock from China.
Often not easily...
12th Oct 2020, 23:18
Replies: 2,086
Views: 609,458
Posted By tartare

Very interesting reading. ...

Very interesting reading.
https://digital-commons.usnwc.edu/cgi/viewcontent.cgi?article=1013&context=cmsi-red-books
One passage stands out:

The existing amphibious fleet apparently is considered...
1st Oct 2020, 00:51
Replies: 2,086
Views: 609,458
Posted By tartare

So the plucky little British Army will go up...

So the plucky little British Army will go up against the PLA.
Good luck with that...
22nd Jul 2020, 02:30
Replies: 2,086
Views: 609,458
Posted By tartare

Recorded on hidden Oval Office digital...

Recorded on hidden Oval Office digital recorder...

"Mr President, if I may be blunt sir, given the pandemic, the economy, and the latest poll numbers, things are looking dicey for November. That...
20th Nov 2019, 04:01
Replies: 2,086
Views: 609,458
Posted By tartare

Oh I would just loooove to see what the Excited...

Oh I would just loooove to see what the Excited States would do if China used one of those things to sink a Nimitz Class.
It'd be all on for young and old...
24th Jul 2019, 08:33
Replies: 2,086
Views: 609,458
Posted By tartare

...and does he ride a recumbent bicycle?

...and does he ride a recumbent bicycle?
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