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Search: Posts Made By: etudiant
Showing results 1 to 35 of 110
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Forum: Military Aviation
12th Aug 2022, 18:50
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,140
Posted By etudiant

Agree with the above. Xi is not stupid and has...

Agree with the above.
Xi is not stupid and has serious problems at home, including an imploding real estate sector (30% of GNP), unprecedented unemployment among the youngest, best educated recent...
Forum: Military Aviation
8th Aug 2022, 00:31
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,140
Posted By etudiant

The UN is your friend. There is a commemorative...

The UN is your friend.
There is a commemorative plaque near Strawberry Fields,( of John Lennon fame) in NYC Central Park which includes the German Democratic Republic among its signatories.
Afaik,...
Forum: Military Aviation
6th Aug 2022, 00:07
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,140
Posted By etudiant

Maybe I read the wrong history, but afaik, the...

Maybe I read the wrong history, but afaik, the Chinese kicked the Dutch out of Taiwan in 1662.
Not sure they ever saw much use for it, except as a place to allow foreign barbarians to come for...
Forum: Military Aviation
3rd Aug 2022, 22:16
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,140
Posted By etudiant

In this instance, I think this was a perfectly...

In this instance, I think this was a perfectly orchestrated show by the US government.
Biden comes across as conciliatory, Pelosi sends a message of Congressional independence and they both show the...
Forum: Military Aviation
1st Aug 2022, 17:14
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,140
Posted By etudiant

Iirc, the initial communiques dating from the US...

Iirc, the initial communiques dating from the US recognition of the PRC are a masterpiece of wordsmithing, they say there is one China, not saying which was which, and they also say that any...
Forum: Military Aviation
3rd Jul 2022, 17:03
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,140
Posted By etudiant

Afaik, Deng retained his position as Chair of the...

Afaik, Deng retained his position as Chair of the Standing Committee on Military Affairs, which controls the PLA, even after he stepped down as Party Chair.
Xi now holds that post. Think it would...
Forum: Military Aviation
1st Jul 2022, 21:38
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,140
Posted By etudiant

Political loyalty does not preclude military...

Political loyalty does not preclude military competence, plus the effectiveness of the PLA should be measured against the challenges it faces.
As China gradually builds bases all through the South...
Forum: Military Aviation
29th Jun 2022, 19:34
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,140
Posted By etudiant

The Chinese indicate displeasure by imposing...

The Chinese indicate displeasure by imposing extra costs on the offenders, So if they want to ensure defacto recognition of their stance, simply add to the port charges of any offending party.
I...
Forum: Military Aviation
18th Jun 2022, 13:45
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,140
Posted By etudiant

That is a perceptive comment. Plus of course...

That is a perceptive comment. Plus of course winning without fighting is textbook Chinese strategy
This definitely applies to the Chinese force projection methodology, they have a well oiled...
Forum: Military Aviation
18th Jun 2022, 02:01
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,140
Posted By etudiant

The Chinese military are working to ensure...

The Chinese military are working to ensure control of the South China sea and the Asian high country watersheds. For those tasks, they are performing quite well, by all appearances.
Force projection...
Forum: Military Aviation
9th Jun 2022, 17:14
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,140
Posted By etudiant

Was not the Burke hull the same as the Spruances?...

Was not the Burke hull the same as the Spruances? I'd thought that they just stuffed in everything they could. That is why the Zumwalt hull looks so appealing, it has a lot more growth potential.
Forum: Military Aviation
8th Jun 2022, 23:10
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,140
Posted By etudiant

The US Navy is still trying to decide what to do...

The US Navy is still trying to decide what to do with these three ships, as the main gun armament was too expensive to shoot.
Any redo will cost additional billions, but the hull is apparently quite...
Forum: Military Aviation
6th Jun 2022, 19:58
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,140
Posted By etudiant

Disagree entirely, Xi wants to show ongoing...

Disagree entirely, Xi wants to show ongoing progress in China's emergence as the premier nation..
So pushing the envelope around the South Pacific is ideal, plus it ties in nicely with the ongoing...
Forum: Military Aviation
27th Mar 2022, 17:16
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,140
Posted By etudiant

The US forces may be good, but since WW2 that has...

The US forces may be good, but since WW2 that has not translated into winning.
In contrast, the Chinese seem to be very good at winning by means of bloodless engagements that advance China's...
Forum: Military Aviation
23rd Oct 2021, 22:50
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,140
Posted By etudiant

Surely that is no different from the current US...

Surely that is no different from the current US policy, exemplified by Gen Milley. Possibly that sets up a WW! situation of senior ineptitude on one side offset by senior incompetence on the other....
Forum: Military Aviation
9th Oct 2021, 01:06
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,140
Posted By etudiant

That dream may have still been alive in Taipei. ...

That dream may have still been alive in Taipei.
I've no idea whether the Nixon administration allowed Taipei any say in the negotiations, but Taiwan did have a solid set of supporters in Washington
Forum: Military Aviation
8th Oct 2021, 00:58
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,140
Posted By etudiant

Considering that the US agreed with Beijing that...

Considering that the US agreed with Beijing that Taiwan was part of China as part of Nixon's China initiative back in the 1970s, I don';t see how the US has a legal leg to stand on in this conflict....
Forum: Military Aviation
4th Oct 2021, 23:45
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,140
Posted By etudiant

Not different from the situation in Taiwan,...

Not different from the situation in Taiwan, Japan, S Korea, Thailand etc. They all have collapsing birth rates,(Taiwan's is less than a fifth of the 1950 rate).
So China may have fewer troops by...
Forum: Military Aviation
29th Sep 2021, 00:28
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,140
Posted By etudiant

China has a very impressive military tradition,,...

China has a very impressive military tradition,, unusual in that it explicitly harnesses civil economics as part of military strategy. By gradually becoming the workshop of the world, China is...
Forum: Military Aviation
29th Sep 2021, 00:14
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,140
Posted By etudiant

Don't pay any attention to the headline, it was...

Don't pay any attention to the headline, it was chosen to attract clicks rather than to summarize the article, which is actually quite factual.
Forum: Military Aviation
14th Sep 2021, 23:48
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,140
Posted By etudiant

[QUOTE=havoc;11104321]https://www.msn.com/en-us/ne...

[QUOTE=havoc;11104321]https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/china-strengthens-claims-over-disputed-waters-with-new-maritime-law-against-foreign-ships/ar-AANW24k?ocid=msedgdhp&pc=U531

China will...
Forum: Military Aviation
19th Aug 2021, 16:42
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,140
Posted By etudiant

Thank you so much, ORAC, for these links. They...

Thank you so much, ORAC, for these links.
They both backstop the Chinese narrative as well as the Taiwanese course corrections.
Frankly, imho it leaves the law pretty murky.
The most plausible...
Forum: Military Aviation
18th Aug 2021, 23:15
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,140
Posted By etudiant

Afaik, Taiwan is fully on board with the PRC with...

Afaik, Taiwan is fully on board with the PRC with respect to the 9-Dash line and the South China Sea being Chinese territory.
That somewhat complicates the scenario planning.
Forum: Military Aviation
17th Aug 2021, 20:17
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,140
Posted By etudiant

Does that not cut both ways? What is the...

Does that not cut both ways?
What is the survive-ability of 7th fleet vessels under such circumstances?
Forum: Military Aviation
13th Aug 2021, 23:16
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,140
Posted By etudiant

Agree with that entirely, but the perception of...

Agree with that entirely, but the perception of greater strength has considerable influence.That is what China is clearly working to achieve. It is a substantial shift from their previous 'credible...
Forum: Military Aviation
13th Aug 2021, 21:33
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,140
Posted By etudiant

Why would they stop at parity? They need...

Why would they stop at parity? They need preeminence to achieve their objectives. They have the resources to overmatch, which they are beginning to demonstrate on the warship front.

They produce...
Forum: Military Aviation
8th Aug 2021, 16:58
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,140
Posted By etudiant

Fear that may be a misperception. The China Xi...

Fear that may be a misperception.
The China Xi is driving is quite willing to weaponize trade, secure in the knowledge that democracies don't fight back.
China put 200% tariffs on Australian wine,...
Forum: Military Aviation
5th Aug 2021, 21:17
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,140
Posted By etudiant

Another reminder that the Chinese are not as...

Another reminder that the Chinese are not as blinkered in their tactics as are our military planners!
I do think China will seek to assemble overwhelming force before they take over Taiwan. They do...
Forum: Military Aviation
2nd Aug 2021, 12:29
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,140
Posted By etudiant

How UNCLOS (which the US is not a party to while...

How UNCLOS (which the US is not a party to while China is) would be interpreted in the case of the South China Sea is clearly an open issue.
That said, China previously refused to recognize the...
Forum: Military Aviation
1st Aug 2021, 23:20
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,140
Posted By etudiant

Seems to me that the US/UK team is being...

Seems to me that the US/UK team is being deliberately obstreperous, prodding the Chinese to put up or shut up.
If the Chinese attack ships engaged in 'innocent passage' though waters close to...
Forum: Military Aviation
31st Jul 2021, 01:02
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,140
Posted By etudiant

It would take a shooting incident of some kind to...

It would take a shooting incident of some kind to precipitate a fundamental reappraisal of how the western nations deal with China.
As long as China can count on a half trillion dollar annual trade...
Forum: Military Aviation
30th Jul 2021, 17:20
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,140
Posted By etudiant

[/color] Remember when the Spratlys and the...

[/color]

Remember when the Spratlys and the Paracels were universally understood to be in Philippine waters?
I do and think we have seen China give a master class in salami slicing to achieve...
Forum: Military Aviation
30th Jul 2021, 11:52
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,140
Posted By etudiant

Thank you, that clears things up properly. I...

Thank you, that clears things up properly. I don't get the FT, so only saw the quoted excerpt.
Longer term though, it is hard not to see China prevailing in its push to dominate the South China Sea...
Forum: Military Aviation
29th Jul 2021, 17:35
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,140
Posted By etudiant

Agree fully, so suspect he is now speaking out...

Agree fully, so suspect he is now speaking out after that effort was rebuffed. At least he is putting down a marker that the US thinks this is stupid.
Forum: Military Aviation
29th Jul 2021, 16:31
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,140
Posted By etudiant

So sensible comments should only be made in...

So sensible comments should only be made in private?
Perhaps that explains the quality of much of the public discourse.
Showing results 1 to 35 of 110
 
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