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Search: Posts Made By: etudiant
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16th Dec 2019, 23:46
Replies: 4,656
Views: 4,791,209
Posted By etudiant

Sadly the evidence supports this negative...

Sadly the evidence supports this negative assessment of Boeing's engineering culture.
The company has had a succession of egregious cost and schedule issues, in civil most notably with the 787, but...
12th Dec 2019, 20:56
Replies: 4,656
Views: 4,791,209
Posted By etudiant

Actually, this seems a good best case prediction....

Actually, this seems a good best case prediction.
We learned earlier that the TAB (technical advisory board) tasked with reviewing the issue was still working the problem as of Dec 10 and that there...
6th Dec 2019, 23:28
Replies: 4,656
Views: 4,791,209
Posted By etudiant

Aviation is a direct beneficiary of the current...

Aviation is a direct beneficiary of the current free money craze. Financing airplanes gets a positive yield and tax benefits, while regulatory scrutiny ensures that the assets are adequately...
24th Nov 2019, 12:07
Replies: 4,656
Views: 4,791,209
Posted By etudiant

I believe you overestimate the public concern. A...

I believe you overestimate the public concern. A few weeks after the reintroduction, no one will be checking aircraft types any more.
Of course, the whole saga will be replayed anyways in gory...
10th Nov 2019, 13:32
Replies: 4,656
Views: 4,791,209
Posted By etudiant

Is not the issue that he got the FAA to allow...

Is not the issue that he got the FAA to allow MCAS to remain unmentioned in the pilot documentation on the basis that the system was only used to offset very extreme 'out of envelope' conditions?...
10th Nov 2019, 02:31
Replies: 4,656
Views: 4,791,209
Posted By etudiant

Press reports indicate Boeing has been discussing...

Press reports indicate Boeing has been discussing a 'Future Small Aircraft' with US airlines. Had not heard that name before, maybe a straw in the wind?
3rd Nov 2019, 22:58
Replies: 4,656
Views: 4,791,209
Posted By etudiant

Do not think Boeing actually owns these...

Do not think Boeing actually owns these undelivered airframes.
My impression is that the aircraft are built to order and that substantial progress payments are involved, so that Boeing's production...
20th Oct 2019, 22:10
Replies: 4,656
Views: 4,791,209
Posted By etudiant

The US Government can be pretty ruthless and has...

The US Government can be pretty ruthless and has reacted harshly to being misled on other occasions. Also, there are plenty of ways to ensure the valuable operational assets are preserved even if the...
20th Oct 2019, 20:59
Replies: 4,656
Views: 4,791,209
Posted By etudiant

It seems likely that the major bankruptcy law...

It seems likely that the major bankruptcy law firms are already modeling the potential revenue opportunity from a Boeing restructuring.
There will be very many lawsuits beyond the SWAPA complaint....
19th Oct 2019, 00:05
Replies: 4,656
Views: 4,791,209
Posted By etudiant

That raises the question of why was Boeing...

That raises the question of why was Boeing allowed to release these documents now? Has the DoJ criminal investigation ended or did it dawn on someone that DoJ would not look good if this came out...
11th Oct 2019, 23:37
Replies: 4,656
Views: 4,791,209
Posted By etudiant

Deck chairs being rearranged. This is a...

Deck chairs being rearranged.
This is a pusillanimous response to a crisis that is threatening the US's leadership in civil aviation.
11th Oct 2019, 00:12
Replies: 4,656
Views: 4,791,209
Posted By etudiant

Seems like a unique opportunity for a new market...

Seems like a unique opportunity for a new market entrant. If the C919 were ready, the Chinese could be really making hay.
Even as is, this example of Western profit maximization at the expense of...
9th Oct 2019, 16:38
Replies: 4,656
Views: 4,791,209
Posted By etudiant

[/left] There will soon be a thousand stranded...

[/left]
There will soon be a thousand stranded MAXes and Boeing's financial ability to act decisively is eroding with every additional MAX produced. I think there must be a near term return with...
9th Oct 2019, 15:25
Replies: 4,656
Views: 4,791,209
Posted By etudiant

As a worst case backup, Boeing is presumably...

As a worst case backup, Boeing is presumably working hard on a permanent fix for the issues identified above, even though that may require extensive aircraft rework.
In the nearer term though, to...
8th Oct 2019, 13:35
Replies: 4,656
Views: 4,791,209
Posted By etudiant

Old Wall Street saying was 'Your first loss is...

Old Wall Street saying was 'Your first loss is your best loss'. Cutting losses is usually good policy.
That is not happening here.
Boeing and its suppliers are still building over 40 MAX airframes...
8th Oct 2019, 12:18
Replies: 4,656
Views: 4,791,209
Posted By etudiant

There has been superb security at Boeing and the...

There has been superb security at Boeing and the FAA on the MAX recovery effort.
No leaks of any kind afaik, neither as to the proposed fixes nor whatever the Plan B alternative if the proposed fix...
7th Oct 2019, 22:57
Replies: 4,656
Views: 4,791,209
Posted By etudiant

If the reported move by Silk Air to shift its MAX...

If the reported move by Silk Air to shift its MAX aircraft to long term storage in Australia is any indication, the return to service is rather more than a quarter away.
Boeing was building around...
3rd Oct 2019, 18:01
Replies: 4,656
Views: 4,791,209
Posted By etudiant

Given the absence of any public progress to date,...

Given the absence of any public progress to date, does anyone still believe the early 2020 return to service date?
With the EU as well as the Chinese currently experiencing the Trump...
24th Sep 2019, 00:01
Replies: 4,656
Views: 4,791,209
Posted By etudiant

That is asking a lot of Joe Pilot. He's been...

That is asking a lot of Joe Pilot.
He's been taught to trust the instruments which are now driving him into the ground, for reasons he does not understand or know about. Plus his inputs are reversed...
23rd Sep 2019, 23:00
Replies: 4,656
Views: 4,791,209
Posted By etudiant

As a humble SLF, my question would be 'How does...

As a humble SLF, my question would be 'How does the average Joe Pilot react when his airplane is unexpectedly trimming ever more nose down?'
How can the pilot control attitude when the airplane will...
23rd Sep 2019, 22:30
Replies: 4,656
Views: 4,791,209
Posted By etudiant

Afaik, there has not previously been an aircraft...

Afaik, there has not previously been an aircraft control system that forcibly overrode pilot inputs repeatedly, after a brief (6 second) delay.
So I believe it is at best disingenuous to claim...
23rd Sep 2019, 13:22
Replies: 4,656
Views: 4,791,209
Posted By etudiant

Challenging when the AoA indicator is on the...

Challenging when the AoA indicator is on the fritz.
22nd Sep 2019, 23:44
Replies: 4,656
Views: 4,791,209
Posted By etudiant

You articulate more effectively the concern that...

You articulate more effectively the concern that I believe every Boeing shareholder should have.
Boeing management is invisible in this crisis, hiding behind lawyers presumably.
That surrenders the...
22nd Sep 2019, 17:57
Replies: 4,656
Views: 4,791,209
Posted By etudiant

The absence of any visible progress in resolving...

The absence of any visible progress in resolving the MAX grounding more than 4 months after it was instituted is disconcerting.
Not only has there been no formal public discussion of the issues,...
22nd Sep 2019, 00:36
Replies: 4,656
Views: 4,791,209
Posted By etudiant

Has the MAX already set a record for duration of...

Has the MAX already set a record for duration of grounding or is it still only a contender? It does seem a very protracted process, with very little indication of when it might end or on what terms....
7th Sep 2019, 00:52
Replies: 4,656
Views: 4,791,209
Posted By etudiant

Seems the 777X also has some issues. Seattle...

Seems the 777X also has some issues.
Seattle radio KOMO reports the aircraft had a door pop off during extreme pressurization testing, with FAA officials watching....
6th Sep 2019, 01:20
Replies: 4,656
Views: 4,791,209
Posted By etudiant

Quite interesting development. I'd expected the...

Quite interesting development. I'd expected the Chinese to be the most recalcitrant regulators, rather than the Europeans.
That said, there is surely some sense of betrayal behind this, the...
5th Sep 2019, 16:56
Replies: 4,656
Views: 4,791,209
Posted By etudiant

Do not believe that is a big issue. Most...

Do not believe that is a big issue.
Most passengers have little interest in the aircraft beyond the quality of the seats and of the service.
So once the MAX is returned to flight, I'd expect the...
2nd Sep 2019, 00:10
Replies: 4,656
Views: 4,791,209
Posted By etudiant

Is it plausible that there is an ongoing broad...

Is it plausible that there is an ongoing broad evaluation of the proposed modifications by the various international authorities without any leakage of these?
It seems more likely that we are still...
30th Aug 2019, 21:23
Replies: 4,656
Views: 4,791,209
Posted By etudiant

Think the discussion of financials needs to be in...

Think the discussion of financials needs to be in a separate thread.
Financial issues for Boeing and the customers get so involved with tax issues and payment contracts that they are futile to...
23rd Aug 2019, 23:29
Replies: 4,656
Views: 4,791,209
Posted By etudiant

Given the current state of US/China trade...

Given the current state of US/China trade relations, does anyone believe China will unground the MAX in lock step with the FAA?
Boeing is in the perilous position of having become a political...
20th Aug 2019, 12:45
Replies: 4,656
Views: 4,791,209
Posted By etudiant

These FAA negotiations are likely thorny,...

These FAA negotiations are likely thorny, especially with the Chinese, who were the first to ground the MAX.
Given the trade issues and the Huawei disputes, China has no reason to do the US any...
17th Aug 2019, 15:58
Replies: 4,656
Views: 4,791,209
Posted By etudiant

Not convinced that a more experienced pilot would...

Not convinced that a more experienced pilot would not have been equally overwhelmed by the vagaries of the MAX setup, with switches that no longer work the way they used to and an unknown control...
5th Aug 2019, 23:27
Replies: 4,656
Views: 4,791,209
Posted By etudiant

Before everyone gets side tracked on fixing...

Before everyone gets side tracked on fixing hugely unlikely problems such as 5 bits flipping exactly wrong, should one not focus on the elephants in the room, such as the trim wheel that is too hard...
4th Aug 2019, 23:29
Replies: 4,656
Views: 4,791,209
Posted By etudiant

Perhaps a general consensus is emerging among the...

Perhaps a general consensus is emerging among the regulators as to what the needed enhancements are that will restore the MAX to airline service.
If so, it is extremely well hidden from the...
Showing results 1 to 35 of 43
 


 
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