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Search: Posts Made By: etudiant
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25th Aug 2022, 19:06
Replies: 16,445
Views: 18,130,921
Posted By etudiant

No argument, the law is silent in wartime. That...

No argument, the law is silent in wartime.
That imho is exactly what Mearsheimer and others have been harping on, when nations feel their vital interests are threatened, they will respond,...
25th Aug 2022, 02:57
Replies: 16,445
Views: 18,130,921
Posted By etudiant

Mearsheimer uses 'offensive realism' as the...

Mearsheimer uses 'offensive realism' as the description of international behavior, because there is no recourse to a central authority, prudent leaders try to ensure that the proximate states prefer...
24th Aug 2022, 00:47
Replies: 16,445
Views: 18,130,921
Posted By etudiant

Did you even read the article? Your comments...

Did you even read the article? Your comments don't relate to anything Mearsheimer wrote.
24th Aug 2022, 00:43
Replies: 16,445
Views: 18,130,921
Posted By etudiant

I respect Mearsheimer's expertise and take his...

I respect Mearsheimer's expertise and take his comments seriously, because he was outspoken about the disastrous consequences likely to result from the effort to bring Ukraine into the western fold....
23rd Aug 2022, 19:44
Replies: 16,445
Views: 18,130,921
Posted By etudiant

For those who have access to 'Foreign Affairs',...

For those who have access to 'Foreign Affairs', John Mearsheimer's latest piece on this conflict is well worth reading. https://www.foreignaffairs.com/ukraine/playing-fire-ukraine
His take is that...
21st Aug 2022, 17:52
Replies: 16,445
Views: 18,130,921
Posted By etudiant

A perceptive evaluation. There is certainly a...

A perceptive evaluation.
There is certainly a body of opinion that Putin is mainly the mouthpiece for those who really rule Russia.
In that case, taking out one of his close associates (or one of...
21st Aug 2022, 00:56
Replies: 16,445
Views: 18,130,921
Posted By etudiant

Logic would be that she is made a martyr and used...

Logic would be that she is made a martyr and used to justify a more stringent mobilization.
20th Aug 2022, 14:47
Replies: 16,445
Views: 18,130,921
Posted By etudiant

An outside perspective which seems sensible to...

An outside perspective which seems sensible to me: https://www.theamericanconservative.com/who-is-winning-the-russo-ukrainian-war/

The Ukraine leadership has done a superb job mobilizing western...
20th Aug 2022, 01:16
Replies: 16,445
Views: 18,130,921
Posted By etudiant

fdr, Imho, the Maidan revolution transformed...

fdr,

Imho, the Maidan revolution transformed the situation for Russia, a previously friendly country became hostile. When the facts change, countries adjust their policies, else they fail,...
19th Aug 2022, 21:45
Replies: 16,445
Views: 18,130,921
Posted By etudiant

For the plant, shelling items near it. ...

For the plant, shelling items near it.
Seriously, we had the video yesterday of Excaliburs plinking individual towing trucks in shelters, looked like under 10 feet error.
So Ukraine has the means...
19th Aug 2022, 18:14
Replies: 16,445
Views: 18,130,921
Posted By etudiant

With the winds as currently blowing, the...

With the winds as currently blowing, the radioactivity would mostly impact Odessa, Turkey and maybe Crimea, rather than western Europe..
Highly recommend this site https://earth.nullschool.net/ ...
14th Aug 2022, 02:34
Replies: 16,445
Views: 18,130,921
Posted By etudiant

That is not so in terms of money or material,...

That is not so in terms of money or material, even if Ukraine has the will..
Ukraine is financially on life support, technically in default, although the creditors have granted a two year repayment...
11th Aug 2022, 22:54
Replies: 16,445
Views: 18,130,921
Posted By etudiant

Very much agree that Zelensky is a top notch war...

Very much agree that Zelensky is a top notch war leader, running circles around Putin, who seems to have decided that his best option was to appear the remote autocrat, not a winning stance imho when...
8th Aug 2022, 00:22
Replies: 16,445
Views: 18,130,921
Posted By etudiant

Agree entirely that this dual warhead approach is...

Agree entirely that this dual warhead approach is operationally practiced methodology,
In this case, who on earth would want to. This is the largest nuclear plant in Europe, at least .three times...
5th Aug 2022, 23:58
Replies: 16,445
Views: 18,130,921
Posted By etudiant

Against that is the size of the facility. ...

Against that is the size of the facility.
Nuclear plants are pretty big, they don't explode if one punches a hole into the concrete containment shell.
To do serious damage, one would ideally hit...
2nd Aug 2022, 23:14
Replies: 16,445
Views: 18,130,921
Posted By etudiant

If the Odessa port shipping option remains...

If the Odessa port shipping option remains intact, it should ease the crunch considerably. Afaik, there are over 20 ships waiting for clearance. No idea whether crews are on board though
Imho, the...
2nd Aug 2022, 02:36
Replies: 16,445
Views: 18,130,921
Posted By etudiant

Sure do, believe it is mandatory reading in parts...

Sure do, believe it is mandatory reading in parts of the Kremlin.
2nd Aug 2022, 01:13
Replies: 16,445
Views: 18,130,921
Posted By etudiant

Good advice wrt The New York Times perhaps....

Good advice wrt The New York Times perhaps. Should I switch to the Washington Post?
Iirc, Bismarck's counsel was not to believe anything until it had been officially denied. That does clear the in...
1st Aug 2022, 21:56
Replies: 16,445
Views: 18,130,921
Posted By etudiant

I was going by a NY Times report on Sunday...

I was going by a NY Times report on Sunday quoting the Russian Ministry of Defense.
That appears to have changed, as noted the Red Cross is still waiting for permission to visit the site.
1st Aug 2022, 17:30
Replies: 16,445
Views: 18,130,921
Posted By etudiant

Afaik, the Russians have invited the Red Cross...

Afaik, the Russians have invited the Red Cross etc to inspect the site, although I've no idea what one could find.
Presumably one could swab the walls and maybe get a sense of the explosives used,...
31st Jul 2022, 23:56
Replies: 16,445
Views: 18,130,921
Posted By etudiant

Maybe not, a fleet parade would be a shooting...

Maybe not, a fleet parade would be a shooting gallery for a cruise missile strike.
Better cancellation on a plausible pretext than a massive embarrassment.
31st Jul 2022, 22:23
Replies: 16,445
Views: 18,130,921
Posted By etudiant

Peculiar if true, Guillaume Barre is not...

Peculiar if true, Guillaume Barre is not infectious afaik.
Maybe fears of polonium poisoning?
29th Jul 2022, 17:18
Replies: 16,445
Views: 18,130,921
Posted By etudiant

You've seen too many movies, war is hell, as...

You've seen too many movies, war is hell, as Sherman correctly observed. The process of brutalizing everyone involved is very obvious in any war..
How careful do you think the Russians who survived...
29th Jul 2022, 16:48
Replies: 16,445
Views: 18,130,921
Posted By etudiant

This is just self righteous bull**** imho. Of...

This is just self righteous bull**** imho.
Of course it is hideous and even bestial behavior.
So how is it different from the well regarded earlier post of a lady who fed her Russian occupiers ...
28th Jul 2022, 02:24
Replies: 16,445
Views: 18,130,921
Posted By etudiant

Seems there are now problems at Ukraine's largest...

Seems there are now problems at Ukraine's largest nuclear plant, now Russian held.
Some details here, implicating a drone strike: Crisis At Zaporizhzhia Nuclear Plant At Breaking Point, 12...
27th Jul 2022, 00:44
Replies: 16,445
Views: 18,130,921
Posted By etudiant

Ukraine has published a list of 'Pro Russian...

Ukraine has published a list of 'Pro Russian Propagandists' here: https://cpd.gov.ua/reports/спікери-які-просувають-співзвучні-ро/

Apart from the usual suspects such as John Mearsheimer and Scott...
22nd Jul 2022, 21:01
Replies: 16,445
Views: 18,130,921
Posted By etudiant

Seems fairly routine for a capable team, this is...

Seems fairly routine for a capable team, this is not a raging torrent type stream, plus at a pinch the Antonovsky bridge pillars could help as anchor points.
Still ugly for the troops stranded...
21st Jul 2022, 18:20
Replies: 16,445
Views: 18,130,921
Posted By etudiant

Not an engineer, but bridge decks serve to...

Not an engineer, but bridge decks serve to distribute the load to the bridge pillars.
In this case, with the supporting box girders ripped open by explosives, that is no longer quite the case.
I'd...
12th Jul 2022, 01:05
Replies: 16,445
Views: 18,130,921
Posted By etudiant

As you suspect, there is not much substance to...

As you suspect, there is not much substance to the Bundeswehr currently, it has been run down to about 10% of its Cold War strength, plus it is now required to be adequately 'woke'.
The defense...
11th Jul 2022, 02:19
Replies: 16,445
Views: 18,130,921
Posted By etudiant

Seems that inflated performance claims are not...

Seems that inflated performance claims are not found only in western military gear. There was probably a Potemkin Village style demo that allowed that claim to be made with a straight face.
In the...
10th Jul 2022, 23:59
Replies: 16,445
Views: 18,130,921
Posted By etudiant

Is there any system that could do such shoot...

Is there any system that could do such shoot downs, especially given that the various MLRS rockets can be ripple fired? Just selecting that kind of target is a chore, handling several in quick...
9th Jul 2022, 17:18
Replies: 16,445
Views: 18,130,921
Posted By etudiant

That is easy, the ineptness was shown by the post...

That is easy, the ineptness was shown by the post Maidan decision to eliminate the various linguistic minority rights in Ukraine and to believe the blandishments of future NATO membership.
Ukraine...
9th Jul 2022, 10:21
Replies: 16,445
Views: 18,130,921
Posted By etudiant

Not a legal beagle, no funding, just trying to...

Not a legal beagle, no funding, just trying to keep perspectives a bit balanced. .
The people of Ukraine are paying the price for inept government and stupid western 'diplomacy', precisely as...
9th Jul 2022, 02:18
Replies: 16,445
Views: 18,130,921
Posted By etudiant

No argument of a substantial Russian involvement,...

No argument of a substantial Russian involvement, Crimea makes that obvious, but still see this as a senseless civil war within Ukraine, as the casualties show..
This was, precipitated by a post...
9th Jul 2022, 01:57
Replies: 16,445
Views: 18,130,921
Posted By etudiant

Thanks for the clarification of the UN data, so...

Thanks for the clarification of the UN data, so only 4000 clear cut civilians, the other 10,000 split 60/40 between rebels and Ukraine army people. Still sounds like a civil war to me.
Showing results 1 to 35 of 130
 


 
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