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Search: Posts Made By: anothertyke
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29th Sep 2020, 20:07
Replies: 2,907
Views: 635,175
Posted By anothertyke

Same kind of actuarial model used by the...

Same kind of actuarial model used by the insurance industry worldwide. It's not exactly rocket science. Please accept the average is not a few months.
29th Sep 2020, 19:34
Replies: 2,907
Views: 635,175
Posted By anothertyke

The average years of life lost of people dying in...

The average years of life lost of people dying in the UK within 28 days of a positive covid test is ten years for men and thirteen for women.
26th Aug 2020, 07:25
Replies: 2,907
Views: 635,175
Posted By anothertyke

Definitely. But I'd also like to know the...

Definitely. But I'd also like to know the prospects for the international conference scene, and the proportion of travel in business class which is not really employers business purpose in the strict...
24th Aug 2020, 08:33
Replies: 2,907
Views: 635,175
Posted By anothertyke

Could you expand a bit on what you mean by 'most...

Could you expand a bit on what you mean by 'most heavily impacted sectors'? Do you think IAG, Ryanair, Easyjet, Ferrovial and MAG will all get together in the same room with Sunak and Shapps and ask...
22nd Aug 2020, 08:27
Replies: 2,907
Views: 635,175
Posted By anothertyke

I make it around a 4% hospitalisation rate from...

I make it around a 4% hospitalisation rate from positive cases at the moment. Is that about right? Is that a lot lower than at the peak?
23rd Jun 2020, 13:46
Replies: 2,907
Views: 635,175
Posted By anothertyke

I agree the app was over-hyped in the first...

I agree the app was over-hyped in the first place. The issue really is whether we have the boots on the ground to cope with tracking, tracing and isolating the downstream from 1000 confirmed new...
23rd Jun 2020, 08:21
Replies: 2,907
Views: 635,175
Posted By anothertyke

I agree that's the way it's going. But can that...

I agree that's the way it's going. But can that aspiration be achieved on the route and timeline the UK Govt is going down? We have an R number somewhere around 0.8. We do not have track and trace...
1st Jun 2020, 15:26
Replies: 2,907
Views: 635,175
Posted By anothertyke

1. There's a fair chance that there were around...

1. There's a fair chance that there were around 80,000 new infections per day at the peak ( around 23 March) and around 8,000 today.
2. 8,000 is a high number ; R of 0.7 to 1.0 is a high number ;...
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