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Search: Posts Made By: Big Pistons Forever
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24th Jan 2024, 20:49
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,199

This is a nightmare scenario for the US and...

This is a nightmare scenario for the US and Taiwan. Taiwan can only survive in its present form with unrestricted routes for the import and export of goods. An illegal blockade would eventually bring...
30th Dec 2023, 19:16
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,199

My personal experience is that US General Officer...

My personal experience is that US General Officer and Flag Officer ranks are populated with officers with significant operational experience. For example this is an abridged version of the bio of...
29th Dec 2023, 16:51
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,199

Adm Jun's resume is pretty thin with very little...

Adm Jun's resume is pretty thin with very little operational experience. Its obvious Xi just wants a yes man mouth piece to be the PLA interlocutor with the world and who will do what they are told...
19th Dec 2023, 18:17
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,199

I routinely hear pundits opine in an admiring...

I routinely hear pundits opine in an admiring tone that China plays the long game, unlike the West. However China’s actions have only resulted in an increasing unified block of regional powers...
19th Nov 2023, 21:54
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,199

Except they are likely already injured….

Except they are likely already injured….
19th Nov 2023, 16:02
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,199

As I understood the PLA ship was told there was...

As I understood the PLA ship was told there was divers in the water, and then activated their Sonar and did not stop even when told they were injuring RAN personnel in the water. I would suggest that...
18th Nov 2023, 16:58
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,199

Seems to me deliberate targeting of RAN personnel...

Seems to me deliberate targeting of RAN personnel is a demonstration of hostile intent. Dealing with PLA Forces is like lion taming, back down and you are dead meat, stand up and roar back and you...
23rd Oct 2023, 14:30
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,199

With the West fully engaged with the Ukraine and...

With the West fully engaged with the Ukraine and the Middle East, I am not surprised China is willing to push boundaries. The world is becoming a very dangerous place....
4th Aug 2023, 20:27
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,199

China certainly has form for threatening...

China certainly has form for threatening relatives still living in China as a lever to force people into doing bad things. I bet that is what happened here. Still no excuse for traitorous actions but...
30th Jul 2023, 01:12
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,199

ORAC You are right a total blockade on...

ORAC



You are right a total blockade on China in retaliation to China attacking a merchant ship in International waters would be devastating to China. Unfortunately it would also be devastating...
13th Jul 2023, 03:48
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,199

I disagree. Lower level corruption and...

I disagree. Lower level corruption and incompetence may have been reduced but the upper levels of the PLA are rotten to the core. The inconvenient truth is autocracies can’t have competent senior...
3rd Jul 2023, 15:52
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,199

Absolutely, however the optics are a lot harder...

Absolutely, however the optics are a lot harder to deal with. It is easy to make the case for a kinetic response to China when Taiwanese civilians are being killed by rocket and air strikes, but...
2nd Jul 2023, 20:59
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,199

The linked report is a very interesting read and...

The linked report is a very interesting read and is IMO a serious attempt to quantify the unquantifiable, that is what should happen vs what is actually going to happen.

Personally I am pretty...
14th May 2023, 16:35
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,199

This is becoming a very dangerous part of the...

This is becoming a very dangerous part of the world for everyone on Earth. Pakistan is now essentially a failed state and economic vassal of China. India is cautiously playing both sides but on...
11th Mar 2023, 00:49
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,199

The next war will start when the ISI wackadoodles...

The next war will start when the ISI wackadoodles in Pakistan lob some nukes into India, who then return the favour and then all hell brakes loose...
23rd Oct 2022, 15:29
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,199

A system which concentrates all decision making...

A system which concentrates all decision making at the very top and prizes personal fealty over competence is the exact opposite of the conditions necessary to have a military capable of joint and...
14th Aug 2022, 15:36
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,199

I respectfully disagree. Information Technology...

I respectfully disagree. Information Technology as a whole gives the state the power to dictate the message in a way that is simply unprecedented. In the past the message was generally controlled by...
13th Aug 2022, 22:26
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,199

An interesting and insightful article. It however...

An interesting and insightful article. It however does not address one development that has no historical analog, the ubiquity of social media. Chinese leaders can control the message in a way that...
12th Aug 2022, 17:53
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,199

The recent exercises had very little to do with...

The recent exercises had very little to do with messaging Taiwan, they had everything to do with messaging the Chinese population. After allowing and even encouraging popular outrage over the Pelosi...
1st Jul 2022, 16:32
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,199

As the old saying goes power corrupts, absolute...

As the old saying goes power corrupts, absolute power corrupts absolutely.

I think the PLA capabilities are is being vastly overrated. The culture and therefore the effectiveness of the...
18th Jun 2022, 15:56
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,199

A very interesting article that has relevance for...

A very interesting article that has relevance for both the US and China. Russia is living the issue and not doing so well it seems. Autocracy's are generally not good at learning from their mistakes....
17th Jun 2022, 17:04
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,199

There is a lot more to the successful projection...

There is a lot more to the successful projection of force than the kit. Effective command and control, well trained and effective personnel, integrated logistics, and adaptive doctrine are what makes...
27th Apr 2022, 23:39
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,199

If Xi tells his Generals to invade Taiwan are...

If Xi tells his Generals to invade Taiwan are they going say “Bad idea boss” or “Yes Sir ! “…….
27th Apr 2022, 17:43
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,199

It will be very interesting to see what lessons...

It will be very interesting to see what lessons the PLA learns from the Russian failures in Ukraine. The current PLA force structure has all off the problems the Russian military has and in addition...
26th Mar 2022, 16:43
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,199

Russia has an awful lot of military hardware but...

Russia has an awful lot of military hardware but is not doing so well. I expect many of the structural issues that exists with the Russian military also exist in the PLA. The bottom line is military...
24th Oct 2021, 16:28
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,199

Re Xi; Lets hope he does not have a "pride...

Re Xi; Lets hope he does not have a "pride goeth before a fall" moment. If war comes it will probably be a result of individual actions by commanders at the tactical level that lead to an out of...
23rd Oct 2021, 16:22
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,199

An invasion of Taiwan will be no cakewalk for...

An invasion of Taiwan will be no cakewalk for China even if the US does not intervene with a direct military response. I can see no conventional war plan that would not result in massive casualties...
9th Oct 2021, 17:34
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,199

Xi's rhetoric is almost entirely for domestic...

Xi's rhetoric is almost entirely for domestic consumption and is consistent with historical messaging. The fervor of the "reunite the renegade province with China" policy, has waxed and waned over...
30th Sep 2021, 17:16
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,199

The Communist Party Of China has an impossible...

The Communist Party Of China has an impossible problem. Their pact with Chinese citizens is a promise of steadily increasing individual wealth in return for unquestioning obedience to the Communist...
2nd Aug 2021, 00:28
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,199

China is crystal clear in its position towards...

China is crystal clear in its position towards Taiwan. It is a break away province of China that needs to be recaptured. To date the strategy to bring Taiwan back to mother China has been political...
7th Jul 2021, 02:30
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,199

The Nuclear World War won’t be deliberately...

The Nuclear World War won’t be deliberately started, it will be a mistake caused by the type of military incompetence that produced the shoot down of the Ukrainian airline by an Iranian missile...
15th May 2021, 18:23
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,199

If history has shown anything it is the next...

If history has shown anything it is the next conflict will not be where we are expecting it and who’s cause is unforeseen. Personally I think if there is a conflict with the West involving China it...
15th May 2021, 18:16
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,199

The technology of an individual platform is...

The technology of an individual platform is essentially irrelevant. The difference between the PLAF and the USAF is profound. The USAF has a huge recruiting, training, logistics, and command and...
12th Apr 2021, 22:16
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,199

I think that it is important to recognize that...

I think that it is important to recognize that the US military industrial complex is built to incentivize the use of expensive technologies to solve battle problems. I would also suggest that the...
7th Apr 2021, 04:34
Replies: 2,090
Views: 614,199

I am not so sure. Social media has changed the...

I am not so sure. Social media has changed the game for despotic regimes. I don’t think the kind of casualties on both sides necessary to subdue Taiwan can be covered up.

It would be a blood bath...
Showing results 1 to 35 of 44
 


 
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