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QF Group possible Redundancy Numbers/Packages

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Old 1st Dec 2020, 10:22
  #2181 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by FightDeck
Qantas don’t give a **** about staff. Pilots or ground crew.
Got some good advice today from an old TRE.If you can, then get out of flying. Use the time off now to study or do something else. Get a side hustle.Get a solid employment alternate.Don’t ever rely on the job now.No one in Qantas cares about you or your family. Focus on the alternate that is now destination. Might take some time but it is essential.
In the future if you do go back then always remember to put yourself and your family first. Qantas don’t care but you have to.
Virgin don’t give a sh!t about staff, Tiger don’t give a sh!t about staff, Ansett don’t give a sh!t about staff. No airline gives a sh!t about staff. Qantas at least make money and that’s about all you can hope for.

cheers,
Greaser
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Old 1st Dec 2020, 18:53
  #2182 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by FightDeck
Qantas don’t give a **** about staff. Pilots or ground crew.
Got some good advice today from an old TRE.If you can, then get out of flying. Use the time off now to study or do something else. Get a side hustle.Get a solid employment alternate.Don’t ever rely on the job now.No one in Qantas cares about you or your family. Focus on the alternate that is now destination. Might take some time but it is essential.
In the future if you do go back then always remember to put yourself and your family first. Qantas don’t care but you have to.

Exactly. It doesn’t matter if Qantas make money or not. Nearly all crew are stood down and are not getting paid. Did not stop Alan taking 9 million in shares and all the executives are getting paid.
I think this is a good point for any airline pilots in Oz.Flying has to be treated like secondary employment.I would be actively be telling young people not to enter the industry.


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Old 1st Dec 2020, 21:35
  #2183 (permalink)  
 
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FD and Knobby, couldn’t agree more!
Anyone starting out in this industry should take this advice. The best income insurance is a solid, second job. Get yourself qualifications, slowly over time, so you are not dependent on your flying job.
The only person you can rely on is yourself.
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Old 1st Dec 2020, 22:07
  #2184 (permalink)  
 
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The C19 shutdown has exposed just how fragile the job of pilot is. If I was a young pilot starting out I would be looking at getting a non-flying qualification or getting a Bachelor of Aviation and do a grad dip in some other field. The issue with a non- flying qualification is maintaining it. So if you get a teaching qualification how do you maintain it if you fly a domestic roster. I think future EBA negations are going to have acknowledge this and allow for a lot more part time and job sharing. Thankfully I am getting to the end of my career and have been able to survive on the sale of assets but for young pilots starting out they will have to face stand downs at some point in their future career.
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Old 2nd Dec 2020, 03:59
  #2185 (permalink)  
 
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It's always been fragile, this is an additional new one. It will be climate change next, 40,000 engines pumping out 800 degrees celcius in the FL250 to FL 390 band, 24/7 can't be good.
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Old 2nd Dec 2020, 08:47
  #2186 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by Wingspar
FD and Knobby, couldn’t agree more!
Anyone starting out in this industry should take this advice. The best income insurance is a solid, second job. Get yourself qualifications, slowly over time, so you are not dependent on your flying job.
The only person you can rely on is yourself.
Indeed.Qantas used to be a great company.So did a Virgin in the early days. Ansett was too as was Australian airlines.But the reality is the work environment is toxic now and no aviation company gives a toss about their employees except executives that rake in millions.
You can’t rely on a career as a pilot now.COVID has been a blessing in some ways.I would actively telling people thinking about it not to. Or to have another degree, skill or qualification and job before they even contemplate it.Even then I would do them a favour and say stop whilst you can.
If your already committed then:
-Don’t ever be solely reliant on flying for a career or money again
-Go to Uni or use your time off to learn a trade or a different skill or start a business. Take as long as you need but you will need something else.
-Prioritise yourself and your family. Stand down and redundancy proved that no airline cares about their pilots or their loyalty. Pilots are a cost base and nothing else.Geoff Dixon said if you want loyalty buy a dog.Alan would stand the dog down when he was not needed.Jayne would probably euthanize the dog.
-Don’t do any favours if it doesn’t suit you. No one cares about your wellbeing but you.
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Old 2nd Dec 2020, 09:17
  #2187 (permalink)  
 
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[QUOTE=
-Geoff Dixon said if you want loyalty buy a dog.
Alan would stand the dog down when he was not needed.[/QUOTE]

Classic!! 😂😂😂😂
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Old 2nd Dec 2020, 20:11
  #2188 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by Xeptu
It's always been fragile, this is an additional new one. It will be climate change next, 40,000 engines pumping out 800 degrees celcius in the FL250 to FL 390 band, 24/7 can't be good.
Climate change will be the next reason, yes, but more for the 3.15 tonnes of CO2 produced per tonne of jet fuel. The latest U.N. report can be read here: https://public.wmo.int/en/media/pres...t-years-record
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Old 2nd Dec 2020, 22:55
  #2189 (permalink)  
 
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A few years ago I was in an airline crew room in the US, on the notice board there was a multitude of business cards and advertisements for businesses that the pilots were running or involved in. With furloughs, and pension plans decimated as a result of mergers or bankruptcy protection and restructuring, they knew how unreliable their finances were.

When you add in that your career is dependant on passing your medical as well, you realise how insecure your income is. Having a wife with a well paid job in a different field such, as law or medicine is good insurance but for most of us a substantial financial buffer needs to be built up in the good times and financial security achieved asap.

Taking on a loan for flying training, with the aim of paying it back from airline earnings later on isn't a good idea. Join the airforce or fly for fun.
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Old 4th Dec 2020, 00:24
  #2190 (permalink)  
 
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I’m wondering about numbers now that a big chunk is about to go with those leaving on VR/ER.
The situation in the UK with vaccine approval, and more to come, has reported that by Easter and certainly by the northern summer the Brits will have it well under control.
Take it out to July and I can see a very good case for the reinstatement of PER-LHR at that time.
Latest Aus figures show discretionary spending has boomed. I think when the time comes people will climb over themselves to travelling internationally again.
The UK is just the start. Most western countries won’t be far behind.
I’ve said it before but QF will be short again by later next year.
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Old 4th Dec 2020, 01:05
  #2191 (permalink)  
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I can foresee a scenario (one of a few different ones though) that all A330s will be up and going by the end of 2021.

If that’s the case we are at least 57 Captains short on that fleet. If the mooted route structure comes off then we’ll be short by an additional margin of about 10-15% on top of that again so call it 65 in round numbers.

The 787 has enough Captains to cover 11 airframes. Any additional airframes coming and they’re short of crew too.

The 747 has less than 10 Captains left to RIN.

The A380 has about 45 Captains left. Some A380s I reckon will be flying from about March ‘22- probably enough that they’ll need a few additional Captains on that aeroplane too. Perhaps 20 or so.

F/O numbers are a bit harder to predict with the A380 still largely at full strength (for 12 jets), the 787 with the right numbers for about 12, A330 with about the right numbers to cover all aircraft (if we train those who were scheduled to come onto the jet just as Covid hit), and about 35 747 F/Os to deal with.

Anyway, that’s my take on the numbers.
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Old 4th Dec 2020, 01:18
  #2192 (permalink)  
 
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How are the 330 SO ranks looking? How many were scared into LWOP?

Every AIPA email mentions how burdened they are...
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Old 4th Dec 2020, 01:55
  #2193 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by Keg
I can foresee a scenario (one of a few different ones though) that all A330s will be up and going by the end of 2021.

If that’s the case we are at least 57 Captains short on that fleet. If the mooted route structure comes off then we’ll be short by an additional margin of about 10-15% on top of that again so call it 65 in round numbers.

The 787 has enough Captains to cover 11 airframes. Any additional airframes coming and they’re short of crew too.

The 747 has less than 10 Captains left to RIN.

The A380 has about 45 Captains left. Some A380s I reckon will be flying from about March ‘22- probably enough that they’ll need a few additional Captains on that aeroplane too. Perhaps 20 or so.

F/O numbers are a bit harder to predict with the A380 still largely at full strength (for 12 jets), the 787 with the right numbers for about 12, A330 with about the right numbers to cover all aircraft (if we train those who were scheduled to come onto the jet just as Covid hit), and about 35 747 F/Os to deal with.

Anyway, that’s my take on the numbers.
Exactly Keg!
57-65 Captains. That training load alone is frightening. The 787 crewing issue also is alarming. Don’t forget the additional airframes parked in the desert. What about numbers for them? The 787 will be very much in demand in the second half. At least QF have all those options!


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Old 4th Dec 2020, 02:06
  #2194 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by Wingspar
Exactly Keg!
57-65 Captains. That training load alone is frightening. The 787 crewing issue also is alarming. Don’t forget the additional airframes parked in the desert. What about numbers for them? The 787 will be very much in demand in the second half. At least QF have all those options!
Hey if we're talking about being "frightened" of training a whole bunch of new 330 and 787 pilots that's a "horror movie" I'd be willing to watch after the year we've just had!

Originally Posted by Wingspar
The situation in the UK with vaccine approval, and more to come, has reported that by Easter and certainly by the northern summer the Brits will have it well under control.
Take it out to July and I can see a very good case for the reinstatement of PER-LHR at that time.
Although that is good news it will probably take longer to get regular scheduled services back. In the article below some Infectious disease experts say it will depend on sufficient vaccination in both the origin and destination countries (here). Australia will be monitoring the vaccination programs in the Northern Hemisphere first prior to our own, which will start months later. I reckon late 2021 by the time everyone's happy, and enough are vaccinated, but I do think PER-LHR will be one of the first routes to come back.

Will Australians be able to travel again once a coronavirus vaccine is available? ABC News

Last edited by dr dre; 4th Dec 2020 at 02:18.
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Old 4th Dec 2020, 03:00
  #2195 (permalink)  
 
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Devil

Maybe Network will take the 787s for the long haul out of Perth , many type rated looking for work on slave labour rates .
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Old 4th Dec 2020, 03:21
  #2196 (permalink)  
 
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Out of interest, are Qantas Group entities permitted to hire pilots that are not currently part of the group whilst group pilots are stood down?
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Old 4th Dec 2020, 05:23
  #2197 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by aussieflyboy
Out of interest, are Qantas Group entities permitted to hire pilots that are not currently part of the group whilst group pilots are stood down?
Think u will find the big Q will just do whatever it feels like doing,they have plenty of cash to hire the most expensive legal eagles & for the employees,whether stood down justifiably or not,the EAP will help them out.
Thats all the boxes ticked.
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Old 4th Dec 2020, 05:49
  #2198 (permalink)  
 
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I wonder how much unused sick leave is disappearing from the books with the VR and ER. Big saving to Q, probably offset the VR $ equation.
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Old 4th Dec 2020, 06:01
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To put it into perspective a quarter of A330 Captains won’t be there on Monday morning. Last time I looked we still have 28 A330’s. They haven’t been moved to the desert. They’ll be the first of the LH fleet to come back. Next year I would suggest.
How long to train up 57?
And the training department have lost quite a few.
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Old 4th Dec 2020, 07:32
  #2200 (permalink)  
 
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Originally Posted by blubak
Think u will find the big Q will just do whatever it feels like doing,they have plenty of cash to hire the most expensive legal eagles & for the employees,whether stood down justifiably or not,the EAP will help them out.
Thats all the boxes ticked.
Great tale, but no.
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